Nate Silver has gone all-in with President Obama. In a Monday evening update to his fivethirtyeight blog on the New York Times, the polling guru increased the likelihood of the president’s re-election to 91.4 percent.
Here’s what the results mean: Silver’s predicting that if the election — based on the current polls — were run 100 times, Obama would win just over 91 times. Romney would likely win just in just over 8 of those elections.
Silver’s widely respected because he correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008, along with all of the year’s Senate elections, and came within percentage points of predicting the popular vote.
He predicts Obama will win 314.4 electoral votes, to 223.6 for Mitt Romney. Silver also has Obama winning the popular vote, with 50.9 percent to Romney’s 48.2.
http://www.salon.com/2012/11/06/monday_eve...
Posted By: Richard Kigel
Tuesday, November 6th 2012 at 10:08AM
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